France and Argentina will face each other in the final of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, the big clash that fans have been waiting to revel in to end this tournament full of excitement and thrills.
Lionel Messi will have the chance to win a first World Cup title of his illustrious career, while Kylian Mbappe hopes to lead France to the first repeat of any nation since 1962, and only their third overall.
One of those stars will make history when the final whistle blows on December 18.
Messi could cement himself as the greatest player in history to win the sport’s top prize, while Mbappé could propel his career further down that path with his second title at just 23 years old.
As fans wait for one of the most anticipated football matches in recent years, here is a complete rundown of how bookies see the 2022 FIFA World Cup Final playing out.
The Sporting News brings you a look at every aspect of this match, from the outright winner to total goals, top scorers, yellow cards, corners and more.
MORE: When is Argentina vs France? Date, time, history and TV information for the 2022 World Cup final
Pre-match odds in this post via BetMGM, Caesars and FanDuel (US), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK) and Ladbrokes (Australia).
Probabilities, lines, handicaps to win Argentina vs France
If you’re not sure how this World Cup final is expected to play out, check out these odds: Both teams are more likely to earn a regulation win and less likely to lift the World Cup trophy, with almost nothing between them.
Some bookies have even split it right down the middle, completely unable to go with one side or the other. France are slightly favored in some places, but almost nothing.
Both teams boast a world-class superstar, and both sides have surrounded that star with top-quality players.
What the bookies are sure of is a defensive battle as the under 2.5 goals total is a huge fantasy, ranging up to almost 1/2 odds, while the over gets the over treatment.
However, oddsmakers can’t work out whether or not both teams will score, suggesting that the odds pick for a result is a 1-1 draw.
MORE: Full World Cup final betting preview for Argentina vs France with picks, best bets and tips
| BetMGM | sports interaction |
SkyBet | Ladbrokes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory of Argentina | +175 | 2.70 | 9/5 | 10/19 |
| draw | +200 | 2.95 | 10/21 | 2/1 |
| France to win | +170 | 2.70 | 8/13 | 31/20 |
| The two teams mark Y/N |
+100 / -140 | 1.92 / 1.70 | 1/1, 8/11 | 1/1, 3/4 |
| Above / Below 2.5 goals |
+135 / -190 | 2.32 / 1.54 | 6/4, 1/2 | 8/11, 15/8 |
| France -0.5 | +155 | 2.60 | — | — |
| Argentina +0.5 | -225 | 1.47 | — | — |
| France wins the title | -125 | 1.90 | 10/11 | 3/4 |
| Argentina wins the title | +100 | 1.95 | 4/5 | 20/21 |
Note: The odds over 90 minutes of regulation, except to advance.”
Argentina vs France scorer odds
Lionel Messi is considered the player most likely to score in this match, with odds making him the slight favorite over his Blues counterpart, Kylian Mbappe.
Messi is in good form as he has scored a goal in every game in this World Cup except the group stage final against Poland. He leads the Golden Boot classification in the assist tiebreaker, as he and Mbappé are tied with five goals.
Julian Alvarez is also expected to score in the game after his sensational performance against Croatia in the semi-final, scoring twice and also winning a penalty. Olivier Giroud is alongside him, leading the line for France in place of an injured Karim Benzema, and becoming France’s all-time top scorer at the start of the tournament.
Argentinian goalscorer odds vs France
| BetMGM | sports interaction |
SkyBet | Ladbrokes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Messi | First: +350 Any: +170 |
First: 6:00 a.m Any: 2.52 |
First: 4/1 Any: 7/4 |
First: 7/2 Anyone: 13/8 |
| J. Alvarez | First: +550 Any: +240 |
First: 8.20 Any: 3.66 |
First: 6/1 Any: 5/2 |
First: 2/11 Anyone: 12/5 |
| L. Martinez | First: +600 Any: +260 |
First: 8.80 Any: 3.91 |
First: 13/2 Any: 11/4 |
First: 6/1 Anyone: 13/5 |
| P. Dybala | First: +650 Anyone: +280 |
First: 9.60 Anyone: 4.17 |
First: 7/1 Any: 3/1 |
First: 13/2 Anyone: 14/5 |
| A. Correa | First: +900 Anyone: +400 |
First: 1:00 p.m Any: 5.50 |
First: 10/1 Anyone: 9/2 |
First: 9/1 Any: 4/1 |
Note: Superior odds only during 90 minutes of regulation.
France goalscorer odds against Argentina
| BetMGM | sports interaction |
SkyBet | Ladbrokes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mbappé | First: +400 Anyone: +188 |
First: 6.20 Any: 2.56 |
First: 9/4 Any: 5/1 |
First: 4/1 Any: 2/1 |
| O. Giroud | First: +550 Any: +240 |
First: 8.20 Any: 3.71 |
First: 6/1 Any: 5/2 |
First: 2/11 Anyone: 12/5 |
| A. Griezmann | First: +800 Any: +350 |
First: 12:00 p.m Anyone: 5.09 |
First: 9/1 Any: 4/1 |
First: 8/1 Any: 7/2 |
| M. Thuram | First: +800 Any: +350 |
First: 11.00 a.m Any: 4.88 |
First: 9/1 Any: 4/1 |
First: 8/1 Any: 7/2 |
| R. Kolo Muani | First: +1000 Anyone: +400 |
First: 12:00 p.m Any: 5.29 |
First: 10/1 Anyone: 9/2 |
First: 10/1 Any: 4/1 |
Note: Superior odds only during 90 minutes of regulation.
Argentina vs France half probability
The second half of the games has been much more open than the first 45 minutes of this World Cup. While this is generally true in the sport, he has been exceptionally on point during proceedings in Qatar.
France are thought to be slightly more likely to score in both halves, although neither team has much of a chance of achieving the feat in such a close game.
| Caesars | SkyBet | Ladbrokes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any half wins | ARG: +105 FRA: +102 |
ARG: 1/1 COLD: 10/11 |
ARG: 19/20 COLD: 19/20 |
| Win both halves | ARG: +900 FRA: +850 |
ARG: 11/1 FRA: 9/1 |
ARG: 10/1 FRA: 10/1 |
| Half more goals | 1H: +245 Draw: +205 2H: -102 |
1H: 9/4 Draw: 2/1 2H: 6/5 |
1H: 12/5 Draw: 21/10 2H: 1/1 |
Note: Superior odds only during 90 minutes of regulation.
Cards and Corner Probabilities Argentina vs France
Interestingly, the odds seem to suggest that this will be a well played match with very few cards and fouls. The card total is around 4.5, while the even money reserve point threshold is around 45.
Nicolas Otamendi is the player most likely to receive a yellow card in the match, with four bookings in his last 10 World Cup matches between the 2018 and 2022 tournaments. Some regulars from the bench (Jordan Veretout, Youssef Fofana) are the French players with the lowest odds, but Aurelien Tchouameni is the expected starter with the lowest odds of seeing a card.
In terms of corners, both teams are around a total of 4.0 corners, but France are thought to have a slightly higher chance of accumulating more than their opponents. The expected combined corner total of 8.5 is almost on the nose.
| FanDuel | sports interaction |
SkyBet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARG O/U cards 2.5 | +148 / -190 | — | — |
| FRA O/U X.5 cards | +140 / -180 | — | — |
| ARG 20+ pts book | — | — | 4/7 |
| FRA 20+ bookmarks | — | — | 4/6 |
| O/U 4.5 cards total | +106 / -134 | 1.99 / 1.73 | — |
| More than 40 bookmarks in total | — | — | 8/11 |
| N. Otamendi has received a yellow card | +180 | — | — |
| A. Tchouameni has received a yellow card | +210 | — | — |
| Red card ARG | +570 | — | 7/1 |
| FRA red card | +550 | — | 8/1 |
| Both / any red card | +330/+2500 | — | 4/1, 50/1 |
| More than 8.5 corners in total | +116 | 1.95 / 1.76 | 4/5 |
| ARG on 3.5 corners | -154 | — | 8/15 |
| FRA more than 4.5 corners | +140 | — | 10/11 |
Note: Superior odds only during 90 minutes of regulation.
Note: Card totals count as a straight red card two letterswhile a second yellow to a red counts as a three cards in total (one for initial yellow, two for red).
How do reservation points work?
Instead of counting the total number of cards in a match, in Europe “reserve points” are used to summarize the disciplinary record of a team or match.
This is how the reservation points are calculated:
- A yellow card = 10 reservation points
- A red card = 25 reserve points
- Second yellow card = 35 total reserve points (10 for initial yellow, 25 for red; second yellow does not contribute)
